Month: September 2023

Moody’s Warns About Govt Shutdown

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 A govt shutdown would reflect negatively on America’s credit rating, says Moody’s, the only remaining major credit grader to assign the US a top AAA rating

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Fed’s Goolsbee Sees Higher For Much Longer

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 Fed’s Goolsbee: The next question will be ‘how long are we going to hold at these levels’; I think we’re getting close to questions about how long we will hold, rather than how high; It feels like we’re going to hold longer than markets were expecting

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Lagarde’s Warning

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🇪🇺 🇪🇺 ECB’s Lagarde: Recent indicators point to further weakness in the third quarter

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US Consumer Is Getting Poorer

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 Americans outside the wealthiest 20% have run out of extra savings and now have less cash on hand than they did when the pandemic began. The figures point to dwindling firepower available for US consumers, whose resilience has kept the economy growing at a rapid clip this year and staved off the recession that many expected

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Banks See A Lower Yuan

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🇨🇳 🇨🇳 Nomura, JP Morgan both tip a higher USD/yuan (USD/CNH). markets remain with concerns over China’s economic growth. recent data has not been “constructive” – Caixin Services PMI fell to its lowest since December 2022. Recent property sector developments worrying. PBOC stimulus efforts haven’t moved the needle much higher for the yuan

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JPY Bulls Take Note

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🇯🇵 🇯🇵 JPY Bulls Take Note: Bank of Japan intervention in USD/JPY usually results in an initial 500 point drop

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Goldman: Higher Oil Prices A Manageable Headwind

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🛢️ 🛢️ Goldman Sachs says that while a sustained climb in oil prices could slow consumption and economic growth it will be a “manageable headwind” for the U.S. economy

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JPMorgan: “Boiling The Frog”

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 JPMorgan: “Our “boiling the frog” narrative incorporates a tension between near-term forces promoting resilience and the seeds being sown for an eventual end to the expansion. This resilience promotes sticky inflation and a need for sustained restrictive policy stances that should, in turn, compress profit margins and erode balance sheet health. Timing the point at which building vulnerabilities spark an end to the expansion is difficult”

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10-Year Bond Yield Breaks Above 4.52%

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🚨 🚨 BREAKING: US 10-Year Bond Yields Trade Above 4.52%

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Honeywell Invests In ESS Tech

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🚨 🚨 Honeywell to invest in ESS Tech as part of energy storage collaboration. Honeywell has invested $27.5M in ESS Tech

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