Start Looking At REITs

🚨 🚨 Start Lookng At REITs: Recession-resistant REITs like those in healthcare—specifically, medical office buildings and assisted living—some shopping centers, and industrial REITs. Over the past four cycles, when the Fed stops raising rates, REITs do well the following year on an absolute basis

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Time To Buy Bonds

🚨 🚨 Time To Buy Bonds: A “hawkish pause” at the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting has pushed bond yields to 17-year highs. Do Not Panic. Opportunity Knocks. A year from now, however, bond yields are likely to be meaningfully lower than today. Investors shouldn’t overthink trying to time the market exactly: Lock in those 4.5%-plus yields today

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China’s EV Invasion

🇨🇳 🇨🇳 China’s EV Invasion: China has become a global powerhouse in electric cars: It’s expected to account for about 60% of the world’s 14.1 million new passenger EV sales this year, according to BloombergNEF. Many of those options are small and affordable; some are downright cheap

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China: Rich Gen Zs Are Coming Home

🇨🇳 🇨🇳 China’s Ultra-Rich Gen Zs Flock Home: Born during the heyday of US-China relations with globalization firmly ascendant, China’s Generation Z is now coming of age in a very different, protectionist world. Manufacturers are shifting production away from China; the US and its allies are restricting China’s access to its cutting-edge semiconductors; Beijing is tightening the flow of information; and potential accusations of technology theft hound Chinese executives and academics alike in the US. That decoupling of the world’s two biggest economies is upending the lives of China’s most ambitious students who now face rejected visa applications abroad and growing youth unemployment at home

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Congressman Suggests More China Curbs

🚨 🚨 House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Michael McCaul says Congress needs to tighten restrictions on US firms’ investment in China beyond those proposed by President Joe Biden earlier this summer, as recent breakthroughs in Chinese technology have spurred debate over the effectiveness of Washington’s controls.

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We Say Start Getting Greedy

🚨 🚨 When There Is Fear We Get Greedy: The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 has dropped more than 5% so far in September, on track for a back-to-back loss and its worst monthly showing of 2023. This is an opportunity to buy quality Tech cmpanies. UBS says the Fed won’t hike again this year. But Powell’s emphasis that higher real yields are needed in the last leg of his fight against inflation introduces uncertainty to that sanguine projection

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China: Cherry-Picking Is The Way

🇨🇳 🇨🇳 Strategy: The relentless selloff in Chinese stocks has made the market the worst performer in the world over the past three years. That is exactly the reason some funds are looking to unearth pockets of value. The way to make money is to look at individual companies

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Traders Are Buying USD

💵 💵 IMM Report: USD Net Speculative Position Flips To Long

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US Loan Delinquencies Surge

🚨 🚨 New credit card and auto loan delinquencies have surpassed pre-Covid levels, per Moody’s Investors Service

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Bonds May Drop Further. Here’s Why

🚨 🚨 This chart shows why the crash in US bonds may not be over yet. Historically, the term primium, the spread between 10y US bonds and Fed funds rate, has been 1.3ppts. Even if the Fed were to cut rates again, we are still miles away from that

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