Month: January 2025

Apple Losing Market Share To Chinese Rivals

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Apple is losing more market share to its Chinese rivals. Counterpoint Research said Apple’s iPhone now has 18% share of the global phone market, with Samsung also slipping, as Xiaomi and Vivo gain on them. Apple has been playing catchup on AI in China, where its new features aren’t available, as the country’s smartphone makers develop their own in-house AI tools and agents

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Goldman Is Still Bullish On China Stocks

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Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists are sticking to their bullish stance on Chinese stocks despite an ongoing rout, predicting that benchmarks will rise about 20% by year-end.

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EUR/USD Will Fall To Parity

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EUR/USD: Chart shows risk of a bigger drop to parity. Spot looks to drop through 1.096 Fibo, as 14-week momentum is negative. A break below 1.0196 Fibo would unmask the 1.0000 psychological level

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Bonds Are Getting More Attractive

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⭐️⭐️ Bonds Are Getting More Attractive: Yields of 10-year Treasurys are now at 4.772%, the highest close since Nov. 1, 2023. This is attributed largely to the “term premium” which is now close to levels reached during the 2022 inflation spike

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Rupee Plunges

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The Indian rupee fell as much as 0.7%, the most since early 2023, to a fresh record of 86.5575 on Monday, mirroring the broad declines in almost all Asian currencies against the greenback. Local bonds and stocks also retreated along with most regional peers.

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Forget Nike

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Forget Nike: The stock of this footwear company has climbed 111% over the last 12 months and we see further upside of at least 30% going forward, after a correction. Its gross profit margin reached 60.6%, the highest since the company’s IPO in September 2021

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Goldman Turns Bullish On The Dollar

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Goldman Sachs maintains its broadly bullish outlook on dollar versus Asian currencies, partly supported by an even firmer dollar outlook for this year, its Research team says in a note. GS refreshes its USD/Asia FX forecasts taking into account December’s FX movements and its economists’ Fed rate-cut projection revision following Friday’s strong nonfarm payrolls report. The U.S. investment bank raises its USD/JPY forecasts to 160 from 155 for next three months, 161 from 157 for next six months, and 162 from 159 for next 12 months. GS also raises some other dollar/Asia FX forecasts, such as USD/SGD to 1.3900 from 1.3600 for next three months, 1.4000 from 1.3800 for next six months, and 1.4100 from 1.3800 for next 12 months.

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AUD Will Fall Further

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The Australian dollar may extend its downtrend against U.S. dollar, technical charts show. The Australian dollar formed a bearish outside candle at a four-year low against its U.S. counterpart on week 14 of the past 14 weeks, says Matt Simpson, market analyst at FOREX.com and City Index, in a commentary. The daily trend is firmly bearish and one that likely favors bears fading into minor rallies, while prices remain beneath 0.6300, Simpson says. A test of 0.6100 this week isn’t “out of the question,” the analyst adds

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Why Are Bonds Dropping?

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Why Are Bonds Dropping? Traders now see the first cut this year only in September. Trump’s promised tariffs might prove to be inflationary, and his promised tax cuts could further increase budget deficits. The benchmark 10-year yield (US10Y) rose as much as 10 basis points to 4.79% on Friday, approaching levels not seen since the end of October 2023

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