Month: April 2025

Bank of America Warns: Sell Rallies in US Stocks and Dollar

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Bank of America Corp. strategists, led by Michael Hartnett, have advised investors to sell into rallies in US stocks and the dollar, warning that the necessary conditions for sustained gains are currently absent

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#BankofAmerica #InvestmentStrategy #MarketTrends #MichaelHartnett #StockMarketInsights

Deutsche Bank Warns of Looming “Structural” Dollar Crash

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Deutsche Bank is warning of a significant decline in the U.S. dollar, characterizing it as a “structural” or “major” downtrend that could push the dollar to its weakest level in more than a decade against the euro and other major currencies. The bank’s strategists, George Saravelos and Tim Baker, have stated that the preconditions are now in place for the beginning of this downtrend

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Singapore’s Election Spotlight: PAP Faces Rising Pressure Over Wealth Inequality

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As Singapore heads toward the May 3 general election, the ruling People’s Action Party (PAP) faces pressure to tackle wealth inequality and support the working class while preserving the city-state’s appeal to the global super-rich. The PAP has avoided sweeping wealth taxes, arguing that steep increases in personal or corporate taxes could harm investor confidence and drive wealthy individuals away. Instead, the government has gradually raised taxes on luxury goods and high-value properties, including higher personal income tax rates for top earners, increased property taxes on expensive homes, and higher duties on luxury cars—measures aimed at ensuring the wealthy contribute more without undermining Singapore’s status as a leading wealth hub

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UBS Strategist Sean Simonds: U.S. Markets Rapidly Pivot Toward Recession Amid Tariff Turmoil

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UBS strategist Sean Simonds warns that U.S. markets are rapidly shifting toward a recessionary regime, with tariff-sensitive stocks being “aggressively repriced” and now down 20% relative to the broader market. Simonds highlights that consumer discretionary stocks, which are typically vulnerable during economic slowdowns or recessions, have already underperformed and could face even greater downside as earnings expectations are swiftly revised lower and hedge fund positioning adjusts. UBS models indicate further negative momentum for consumer discretionary names such as Kohl’s, while sectors like communication services and utilities (e.g., Live Nation and Ameren) are expected to relatively outperform in this environment

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Ringgit Swaps Double Down on Rate Cut Bets

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Ringgit swaps are now signaling that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) could cut its policy rate by 30 basis points within the next six months, a notable increase from earlier expectations. This shift is driven by weaker-than-expected economic data and a benign inflation environment

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BYD Accelerates Ahead: 60% Q1 Sales Surge Puts Tesla’s EV Crown in Jeopardy for 2025

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BYD Co. is poised to reinforce its strong lead over Tesla Inc. following a robust first quarter in 2025, underpinned by record-breaking sales and soaring profits. The company’s Hong Kong-listed shares have surged 46% year-to-date, reaching all-time highs in March, in stark contrast to Tesla’s more than 35% decline amid slumping sales and escalating trade war concerns

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Fed May Cut Rates In June

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Treasury yields fell Thursday after comments by a Federal Reserve official bolstered the still-long odds that the central bank will cut interest rates as early as June

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EUR/USD FX Options Signal Greater Fear of Gains Than Losses

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FX options for EUR/USD reflect more fears of gains than losses, driven by market uncertainty and tariff risks. Investors are increasingly acquiring options to hedge against potential EUR/USD increases, as evidenced by a surge in demand for euro calls over puts

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Foreign Investors Pour into Japanese Stocks for Third Consecutive Week

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Foreign funds bought Japanese stocks for a third straight week on optimism over US trade talks, and amid speculation investors are diversifying away from US equities

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Norway’s $1.7 Trillion Sovereign Wealth Fund Suffers $40 Billion First-Quarter Blow

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BREAKING: Norges Bank Investment Management — the largest sovereign wealth fund in the world — on Thursday reported a first-quarter loss of 415 billion kroner ($40 billion), citing weakness in the tech sector

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