Anglo: BHP Will Have To Raise Its Price

🚨 🚨 BHP will have to raise the price of its Anglo American offer to get the friendly transaction it needs, given the firm’s unpopularity in South Africa. The question is whether it also drops the condition that Anglo do the splits. A cleaner proposal could give BHP a higher chance of getting hold of the real prize: the copper business. Jefferies research reckons the Platinum And Kumba iron ore mines are worth around 250 pence per Anglo share. And BHP could take time to dispose of the assets it didn’t want in an orderly way, avoiding fire-sale prices

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Belgium Has A Debt Problem

🇧🇪 🇧🇪 Like the US, Belgium’s debt as a percentage of GDP already exceeds 100%, and that ratio will rise by 10 percentage points in both countries by 2029, according to the International Monetary Fund. ING: “For sure, the current state of affairs cannot continue. It might take a very long time to have a new government. All of this means that Belgium indeed might be vulnerable to unrest on financial markets”

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India Property: Near Record Leases Signed

🇮🇳 🇮🇳 India Property: In India, the square footage of leases signed in the first quarter was the second-highest on record, JLL reports. India is chipping away at China’s dominance in manufacturing as companies diversify supply chains. Last November the value of Indian electronics exports to the US was 7.7% of what China exported—three times what it was two years earlier, according to Fathom Financial Consulting in London. And the India-China ratio for exports to the UK more than doubled in the period, to 10%

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Asia Property: Ho Chi Minh Is Hot

🚨 🚨 Asia Property: The total area leased in Asia in the first quarter was 5% higher than the average of the past five years, brokerage Jones Lang LaSalle reports. That stands in sharp contrast to the US, where it was 29% lower, and Europe, which was a third below the five-year average. Brokerage CBRE Group Inc. expects rents in China’s biggest cities to fall as much as 6% this year. In Ho Chi Minh City, they rose 6.6% in the first quarter from a year ago—one of the biggest gains in Asia, according to real estate broker Knight Frank LLP

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China’s March Exports Rebound

🇨🇳 🇨🇳 BREAKING: China’s Exports increased 1.5% in dollar terms from a year earlier, reversing a drop in March, while imports climbed 8.4%, the customs administration said Thursday. That left a trade surplus of $72.4 billion for the month. Economists had forecast that exports would rise by 1.3% while imports would climb by 4.7%

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Hedge Funds Are Shorting JPY

🇯🇵 🇯🇵 BREAKING: Hedge Funds Pile Into Option Bets Dollar-Yen Will Rise To ¥160

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Alphabet: The Catalyst Is Here

🚨 🚨 Alphabet~The Catalyst Is Here: Google DeepMind, in collaboration with Isomorphic Labs, has introduced AlphaFold 3, a groundbreaking artificial intelligence (AI) model capable of predicting the structures and interactions of all life’s molecules with unparalleled accuracy

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ECB Cut Before The Fed?

🚨 🚨 Deutsche: The Bundesbank/ECB have not eased before the Fed, apart from in 2011 when the ECB cut rates due to the Sovereign crisis. So assuming the ECB does cut rates next month as expected, and the Fed remains on hold for at least the next several months before easing, it will be a unique event in modern times

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Inflation Is Rising

🚨 🚨 Further evidence that inflation is accelerating: US labor costs in the last quarter rose by the most since Q1 2023. The index surged by 1.2% in Q1 2024 after a 0.9% increase in Q4 2023, beating all expectations. Wage pressures are accelerating

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