NZD: Traders Bet On Policy Error

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🇳🇿 🇳🇿 Overnight indexed swap contracts are pricing in more than 60% chance that RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr will lift the cash rate by a quarter point to 5.75% in the first half of the year. Policymakers will undo the hike by August, before lowering borrowing costs to 5.25% at the final meeting of 2024, the contracts show
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German Coalition Punished

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🇩🇪 🇩🇪 The three parties in Germany’s unpopular ruling coalition suffered losses in Sunday’s partial repeat in Berlin of the 2021 federal election, continuing a national trend that is likely to be repeated in four key votes this year
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A Blockbuster Pharma Opportunity

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🇩🇰 🇩🇰 A pharma company’s largest shareholder plans to invest as much as $7 billion a year by 2030
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UK Suffering Long Term Cost Of Brexit

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🇬🇧 🇬🇧 The UK’s decision to leave the European Union shrank the British economy by reducing growth and spurring higher inflation, according to economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. who compared the country’s performance to similar nations since the referendum in 2016
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Coal India Posts Record Profit

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🇮🇳 🇮🇳 Coal India Ltd. posted a record quarterly profit that beat estimates as buyers of the fossil fuel boosted stockpiles before the summer demand season
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US Deficit Widens

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 The deficit for the first four months of the 2024 fiscal year reached $532 billion, or 16% more than recorded in the same period in the prior year, Treasury Department data released Monday showed. Interest costs in the four months through January were $357 billion, a 37% jump from 2023
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Goldman Is Bullish On US IPOs

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 Momentum for US IPOs is picking up, as a growing range of firms are attracting buyers — supporting Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s call that the best is yet to come for the new issues market
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Indonesia Has To Face The Truth

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🇮🇩 🇮🇩 Indonesia’s election on Wednesday is raising questions over whether the nation’s bid to become an electric-vehicle hub poses enough economic benefit to outweigh environmental risks
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Softbank Overbought With 34% Rise

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🇯🇵 🇯🇵 A 34%, three-day surge in SoftBank Group Corp. has pushed its shares to the most overbought level in more than two decades on the back of Arm Holdings Plc.’s explosive rally
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S&P: A Correction Is Due

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🚨 🚨 Correction Is Due: The S&P 500 Index is approaching a technical roadblock after eclipsing 5,000 for the first time — triggering a contrarian sell signal for stocks on Friday, according to Piper Sandler & Co.’s Craig Johnson
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