Citi: Fed In Awkward Position

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 Citigroup: “They’re [Fed] in a little bit of an awkward position here. Clearly the next move is going to be a cut. But technically, the bias is a hiking bias. So that’s what they have to navigate today”
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Rate Cut: Wbat Does The Market Expect?

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 Currently, markets expect a 46% chance that rate CUTS begin in March of 2024. The base case still shows interest rate cuts beginning in May 2024. However, there is a ~31% chance of at least TWO rate cuts by May 2024
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US Nov PPI Drops

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 November PPI inflation falls to 0.9%, below expectations of 1.0%. Core PPI inflation fell to 2.0%, below expectations of 2.2%
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OpenAI To Pay Axel Springer

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🧠 🧠 OpenAI, the generative artificial intelligence startup backed by Microsoft has agreed to pay publishing company Axel Springer to use the media company’s content to train its AI models
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Funds Turn Bearish On Europe Gas Prices

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🚨 🚨 Hedge funds have turned bearish on European gas prices for the first time in four months, amid confidence that the region will get through another winter without much of the Russian supplies it once relied on
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UK: Traders See 10bps of Cuts

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🇬🇧 🇬🇧 BREAKING: UK: Markets are pricing 97 basis points of easing in 2024, the most in the current cycle. That means three quarter-point cuts are fully baked in and there’s an 85% chance of a fourth — an outcome that would take borrowing costs to 4.25%. Traders are betting on the first move coming in June
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Risk Is All Subjective

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🔥🔥 Risk Arises When You Do Not Know What You Are Doing. When you know what the movers of the markets are doing, there is no such thing as risk. It is all reward
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You Could Have Made 139%

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👄 👄 The stock of an American #beauty brand that is 100% #vegan and cruelty-free has surged 130% this year alone
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EWZ Is A Buy On Dips. Here’s Why

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🇧🇷 🇧🇷 EWZ Is A Buy On Dips. Here’s Why: Brazil’s central bank is set to deliver its fourth straight interest rate cut of 50 basis points, forging ahead with a gradual monetary easing campaign as uncertainties over the global outlook fade and local inflation slows down further
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China: Fitch Sees Growing Deht Risks

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🇨🇳 🇨🇳 Fitch says China’s economic growth will moderate to 4.6% next year from 5.3% in 2023. While a greater usage of fiscal policy will limit downside risks, Fitch noted such supports may keep fiscal deficits wide
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