Citi’s Morse Warns Of Weak Physical Oil Market

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🛢️ 🛢️ Citi’s Morse says oil market is weaker than priced, also China diesel demand has peaked. “the physical oil market is really a lot weaker than where the prices are predicting at the moment but we’re still a good $10 below where the peaks were last month”

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The Big Bond Market Event

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🚨 🚨 Event Alert: The so-called quarterly refunding announcement on Wed will reveal the extent to which the Treasury will ramp up sales of longer-term debt to fund a widening budget deficit. Those securities have been tumbling for weeks, even amid signals from Fed officials they’re “at or near” the end of rate hikes

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What Will The BOJ Do This Week?

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🇯🇵 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan decision on JGB yield cap due this week—BofA & UBS are forecasting 10-year yield cap to be raised to 1.5%; Nomura, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs expect no change; BNP Paribasasses the odds for a change at 50-50

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Attention All FX Traders!

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NFP: Expected 190K

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 Event Alert: Government data on Friday are projected to show payrolls in the world’s largest economy increased by about 190,000 in October, still-solid job growth that follows sizable advances in the previous three months
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European Bonds: The Time Has Come

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🇪🇺 🇪🇺 Money managers at J.P. Morgan Private Bank, Blackrock Inc. and Baring Investment Services Ltd. say there’s a *stronger case for buying European bonds* as the *economy weakens.* They’ll be closely watching the *inflation report on Tuesday,* which is expected to show that price *growth dropped to 3.1%,* the *lowest level in more than two years*

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Beware The Private Credit Euphoria

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💵 💴 Warning: Beware The Private Credit Euphoria: Fund managers potentially lost out on more than $7 billion of lending deals in less than 48 hours this week, highlighting the difficulties they face in allocating billions of dollars of dry powder following the private credit industry’s rapid expansion. Moody’s has warned the scarcity of deals could trigger a race to the bottom between debt funds and banks and result in systemic risks
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Italy’s Rating At 3-Levels Above Junk

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🇮🇹 🇮🇹 Italy’s credit rating was confirmed at three steps above junk at DBRS Morningstar as Premier Giorgia Meloni’s government weathers the second in a slew of upcoming assessments

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Pence Ends 2024 Campaign

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 Former Vice President Mike Pence suspended his presidential campaign Saturday, ending his quest to unseat former running mate Donald Trump as the Republican standard-bearer and return the party to a more traditional brand of conservatism

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