Germany Is Getting Worse

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🇩🇪 🇩🇪 Germany: The growth outlook is being cut further and further. Top economic research institutes now expect Germany’s GDP to contract by 0.6% in 2023, compared w/earlier projection of a 0.3% growth in April

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GBPUSD: Sell On Rallies

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🇬🇧 🇬🇧 GBP Eases Towards 26-Week Low; Sell On Rallies

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Watch TotalEnergies

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🇫🇷 🇫🇷 BREAKING: France’s TotalEnergies Trades At Record High

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Intervention? Get Ready For ¥152

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🇯🇵 🇯🇵 Even If intervention takes place at ¥150, USD/JPY is headed to ¥152

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US 5-Year Yields Surge

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🚨 🚨 5-Year Treasury Yield moved up to 4.67% today, highest since Aug 2007. Real 5-Year Yield (adjusted for expected inflation) of 2.44% is the highest since Nov 2008

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US Debt Servicing Costs Double

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🇺🇸 🇺🇸 For nearly 20 years, it was effectively free for the US to issue debt as debt service costs were ~1.5%. Now, debt service costs have doubled to 3% and will rise toward 5% as rates skyrocket

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EUR/GBP Will Climb To 0.90

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🚨 🚨 EURGBP Will Climb To 0.90. Poll suggests BOE may remain on hold at 5.25% until at least July 2024

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HSBC Buying Citi’s China Wealth Unit

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🇨🇳 🇨🇳 HSBC is poised to buy Citi’s China consumer wealth unit, which manages more than $3 billion in assets

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Indonesia Is Protecting Small Businesses

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🇮🇩 🇮🇩 TikTok can advertise to more than 100 million users in Indonesia, but they now need to go on a different app or site to buy. So the company needs to break out a separate app — potentially undermining its attractiveness — or risk getting its business shuttered in Indonesia completely

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A False Bottom?

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🚨 🚨 In October last year, as the Federal Reserve hinted that the pace of rate hikes would soon slow, it looked as though the low was in. The 10-year Treasury yield peaked at 4.5% and began to fall. Ten-year bonds have broken out this month, with yields surging past 4.6%. The 60:40 portfolio has now dropped back below its 200-day moving average once more, for the first time since the turn of the year

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