AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT and META Are Oversold

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$AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, and $MSFT are all on the low end of their EV/EBITDA valuation range from the last 10 years, with EV/EBITDA ranging from 20- 15x. There is no “AI bubble” here

Amazon (AMZN): Current EV/EBITDA is 17.04, which is indeed on the lower end of its 10-year range (11.14 – 21.68)

Meta Platforms (META): Current EV/EBITDA is 16.07, which is below its 10-year average of 18.34
Alphabet (GOOGL): Current EV/EBITDA is 15.21, which is at the lower end of its 13-year range (11.14 – 21.68)

Microsoft (MSFT): Current EV/EBITDA is 26.06, which is actually higher than the 10-year average of 20.27

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Traders Are Buying Nu Holdings Calls

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Panic Suits Us Just Fine: On March 10, 2025, Nu Holdings saw active options trading with a total volume of 156,430 contracts. Call options accounted for 62.27% of the total transactions
Large traders, or “whales,” have shown a noticeably bullish stance on Nu Holdings. Whales appear to be targeting a price range from $11.00 to $15.00 for Nu Holdings over the last three months

On March 10, a significant put option trade occurred with 25,000 contracts at a $10.00 strike price, expiring on January 16, 2026

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Traders Are Buying Palantir Calls

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🧠 🚀 On March 7th, 2025, Palantir saw active options trading with a total volume of 953,780 contracts. Call options accounted for 55.52% of trades

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Buffett Was Right

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💰 💥 Warren Buffett’s $300 billion cash reserve at Berkshire Hathaway, once a topic of speculation, now proves its wisdom as global markets face volatility and downturns

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Google Is Approaching Oversold Levels

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Google is now trading at a Forward EV/EBIT of ~15x

This valuation multiple suggests that investors are willing to pay 17.15 times Google’s expected operating earnings for the entire business, including its debt

It’s worth noting that Google’s EV/EBIT ratio has fluctuated over time:
•Highest in past 13 years: 28.82x
•Lowest in past 13 years: 13.28x
•Median: 21.18x

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Goldman Raises Credit Spread Forecasts And Cuts S&P 500 Target

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Goldman Sachs strategists have significantly increased their forecasts for U.S. credit spreads, citing heightened trade policy risks and signs that Trump is willing to tolerate near-term economic weakness. The firm sees the potential for wider spreads as markets digest the implications of new U.S. tariffs and their broader impact on corporate borrowing costs. The shift in expectations reflects concerns that elevated funding costs and trade-related disruptions could weigh on corporate credit conditions, particularly in sectors sensitive to global supply chain pressures.
In a separate note, Goldman Sachs lowered its 2025 year-end target for the S&P 500 to 6,200 from 6,500, reflecting a 4% reduction in its fair-value forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple from 21.5x to 20.6x. The firm also trimmed its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the index, now expecting $262 EPS for 2024 (previously $268) and $280 for 2025 (down from $288)
While Goldman remains constructive on U.S. equities, the downward revision suggests that on-hold Fed interest rates and geopolitical uncertainties, including tariffs, may cap valuation expansion in the near term.

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The Bond Market Time Bomb: Countdown To Financial Meltdown

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‼️‼️ BREAKING: Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio on Wednesday warned that a “very severe” U.S. supply-demand problem could lead to “shocking developments”

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Taming Market Turbulence: The Hidden Key To Sustainable Wealth Creation

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📉📉 Investors often chase big returns, overlooking a critical factor in sustainable wealth creation: effective volatility management. While substantial gains are alluring, mastering market fluctuations is what truly distinguishes successful investors

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Buffett Was Spot On

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💰 💥 Warren Buffett’s $300 billion cash reserve at Berkshire Hathaway, once a topic of speculation, now proves its wisdom as global markets face volatility and downturns

Read More: bit.ly/Buffett-Was-Right

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Trump Is No Longer Doubling Tariffs

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BREAKING: The US is no longer doubling tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum to 50% after Ontario suspended their 25% electricity tariff, per The Guardian

However, the US’ 25% tariff on Canadian steel and aluminum imports will still take effect on March 12th

Dow Futures Up 92, S&P Up 16, Nasdaq 100 Up 81
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