Goldman Turns Bullish On The Dollar

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Goldman Sachs maintains its broadly bullish outlook on dollar versus Asian currencies, partly supported by an even firmer dollar outlook for this year, its Research team says in a note. GS refreshes its USD/Asia FX forecasts taking into account December’s FX movements and its economists’ Fed rate-cut projection revision following Friday’s strong nonfarm payrolls report. The U.S. investment bank raises its USD/JPY forecasts to 160 from 155 for next three months, 161 from 157 for next six months, and 162 from 159 for next 12 months. GS also raises some other dollar/Asia FX forecasts, such as USD/SGD to 1.3900 from 1.3600 for next three months, 1.4000 from 1.3800 for next six months, and 1.4100 from 1.3800 for next 12 months.

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AUD Will Fall Further

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The Australian dollar may extend its downtrend against U.S. dollar, technical charts show. The Australian dollar formed a bearish outside candle at a four-year low against its U.S. counterpart on week 14 of the past 14 weeks, says Matt Simpson, market analyst at FOREX.com and City Index, in a commentary. The daily trend is firmly bearish and one that likely favors bears fading into minor rallies, while prices remain beneath 0.6300, Simpson says. A test of 0.6100 this week isn’t “out of the question,” the analyst adds

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Why Are Bonds Dropping?

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Why Are Bonds Dropping? Traders now see the first cut this year only in September. Trump’s promised tariffs might prove to be inflationary, and his promised tax cuts could further increase budget deficits. The benchmark 10-year yield (US10Y) rose as much as 10 basis points to 4.79% on Friday, approaching levels not seen since the end of October 2023

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GBP Trades At Session Lows

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GBP Trades At Session Lows. Large UK companies plan to cut hiring at the fastest pace since the pandemic. Deloitte has released another bearish survey. Daily momentum studies fall; Bollinger bands expand. Weekly DMAs remain bearish – a strong negative setup. GBP targets a test of $1.2038 Oct 23 Low

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Money Managers Bought Brent Before Sanctions

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Money managers had amassed the biggest net-long positions on Brent oil in eight months, even before Washington announced a sweeping package of sanctions targeting Russia’s energy industry. Speculators increased the number of net-long contracts by nearly 40,000 to a total of almost 227,000 lots as of Jan. 7

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Malaysia’s Outflows May Persist

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The outflow of foreign funds from Malaysia’s local capital market, which has been significant, may persist until President – elect Donald Trump assumes office and provides clear policy direction. After Trump won in November and the Fed adopted a dovish rate – cutting stance in response, RM8.5bil in foreign funds exited local debt and equity markets in the past two months. Despite Malaysia’s positive economic outlook for 2025, the valuation of the local equity market has little appeal

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This Has Never Happened Before

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‼️‼️ This has NEVER happened before:
The correlation coefficient between Gold and the S&P 500 reached a record 0.91 in 2024

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Global Food Prices Are Climbing

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After two straight years of declining global food prices, the trend is reversing. The United Nations’ food price index, which tracks five commodity groups, rose 6.7% last year, keeping food inflation well above the 10-year average. Rising prices in vegetable oils, butter and meat — beef, poultry and lamb — helped push up the gauge in the past year, according to data from the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization.

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Asian LNG Prices Rally

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A rally in liquefied natural gas has pushed Asian prices to a rare and substantial premium over oil, paving the way for major consumers to shift to cheaper but dirtier fuels. Japan-Korea marker prices for LNG, the Asian benchmark, were as much as 22% more expensive than Brent crude earlier this month on an energy-equivalent basis

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